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CITIC Jiantou: The domestic cross-border e-commerce industrial chain has been gradually improved. CITIC Jiantou said that from 2010 to 2014, China's cross-border e-commerce entered a stage of rapid development. With the rise of mobile Internet infrastructure and the penetration rate of overseas cross-border e-commerce giants in the Mainland, the supporting facilities of the industrial chain have been gradually improved, subdivided and specialized, relevant policies have continued to exert their strength, and the customs supervision model has gradually become clear; Cross-border e-commerce industry chain is long, and there are relatively many hidden risk points because it involves cross-border. The cost structure of each link is mainly different due to the differences in participation roles, platform models, product types, warehousing and logistics structures, etc. Overall, the current cost structure is relatively stable, but there is also a large room for optimization. The degree of specialization and refinement of service providers will be improved, and the overall control, collaboration and empowerment of the industry chain and the refined arrangement led by big data and industry cognition will become one of the core competitiveness.Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.The dollar rose to 152.91 yen against the yen, the highest since November 27.

CITIC Securities: Relevant central state-owned enterprises engaged in business and equity cooperation with Huawei are expected to enjoy Huawei's empowerment. CITIC Securities pointed out that at the moment when the four sectors of intelligent selection are gathering together and the HI model is fully expanded, we believe that the investment core of Huawei's OEM is "change and invariance", that is, business model and partner iteration, but the top-level design of "not building cars, helping car companies build good cars" and the commercial appeal of maximizing sales and profits are not avoided. In addition, in the stage of deep cooperation with Huawei, the organizational structure and corporate governance of partners have been greatly improved. Similarly, we believe that relevant central state-owned enterprises engaged in business and equity cooperation with Huawei are expected to enjoy Huawei's empowerment, and Huawei will help the reform of state-owned enterprises.The yield of 10-year active bonds in China inter-bank bond market initially dropped by more than 3 basis points to 1.775% and then hit a record low. The yield of 30-year active bonds in China inter-bank bond market initially dropped by nearly 4 basis points to 2%, also hitting a record low.Japan's short-term survey index of large-scale manufacturing industry in December reported 14, with an estimated 13.

Asiana Airlines will use Korean Air's 1.500 trillion won investment to repay its debts.Media Office in the Gaza Strip: The Israeli army bombed the Nuseilet refugee camp, killing 33 people. According to Palestinian media, from the evening of 12th to the early morning of 13th local time, the Israeli army attacked the central and southern parts of the Gaza Strip, causing a lot of casualties. According to the Gaza Media Office, 33 people were killed and 84 others were missing or injured in the Israeli bombing of Nuseilet refugee camp in central Gaza on the evening of 12th. The Palestinian newspaper Al-Quds reported that Israeli troops bombed a tent for displaced people in Khan Younis, a city in southern Gaza, early on the 13th, killing two people and injuring many others.In the first 11 months of GEM, the scale of raising funds by issuing 34 new shares dropped significantly year-on-year. Statistics show that from January to November, 2024, there were 34 new shares listed on GEM, with a total amount of raised funds of about 20.174 billion yuan. The number of issues and the scale of raising funds decreased by about 67% and 83% respectively year-on-year, and the number of listed new shares declined for three consecutive years. Among them, Nova Nebula and Yilian Technology have raised a total of more than 1 billion yuan, which is on the top. The share prices of the first-time shares of GEM all rose on the first day of listing, among which Changlian Technology and Shangda Shares rose more than 1000% on the first day of listing. In addition, there are 17 new shares listed income increased by more than 200%. In terms of underwriters, in the first November of 2024, the number of main underwriting projects of CITIC Jiantou, Guotai Junan and CICC was in the top three. Judging from the scale of fundraising, the total number of projects underwritten by Minsheng Securities and CITIC Jiantou exceeds 2.5 billion yuan, and the project scale of China Merchants Securities, Huatai United Securities and Guotai Junan exceeds 1.5 billion yuan. (Xinhua Finance)